Paul Ryan is counting on this: Because he says he wants to preserve a safety net, speaks with concern about poor people and put out a 73-page report, many will elide the details of the proposals he made last week in his major anti-poverty speech.
The Wisconsin Republican congressman is certainly aware that one of the biggest political difficulties he and his conservative colleagues face is that many voters suspect them of having far more compassion for a wealthy person paying taxes than for a poor or middle-income person looking for a job.
So Ryan gave a well-crafted address at the American Enterprise Institute in which the centerpiece sounded brand spanking new: the "Opportunity Grant." The problem is that this "pilot program" amounts to little more than the stale conservative idea of wrapping federal programs into a block grant and shipping them off to the states. The good news is that Ryan only proposes "experiments" involving "a select number of states," so he would not begin eliminating programs wholesale. Thank God for small favors.
Ryan surrounds his retread idea with the language of innovation. "The idea would be, let states try different ways of providing aid and then to test the results -- in short, more flexibility in exchange for more accountability," he declared. "My thinking basically is, get rid of these bureaucratic formulas."
Who can possibly like those "bureaucratic formulas"? The phrase is another disguise. Among the programs Ryan would block grant are food stamps (now known as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program or SNAP). Food stamps are one of our most valuable initiatives because people are automatically eligible when they lose a job or their income drops sharply. Studies have amply documented the importance of food stamps to the well-being of children.
For the economy and for the disadvantaged, curtailing SNAP would be devastating. While providing nutrition help to families in desperate need, food stamps also offer an immediate economic stimulus at moments when the economy is losing purchasing power. Economists call such programs "automatic stabilizers."
Ryan's block grant would not be nearly as responsive to economic changes. If Congress would have to step in, its reaction would be slow. And the history of Ryan's own budgets shows that increasing spending for poor people is not exactly a priority.
Food stamps aren't the only programs that get wrapped into the grant. Housing vouchers go there, too, which could lead to more homelessness. So does money for child care. Ryan says there would be rules barring states from using funding from his Opportunity Grant for purposes other than helping the needy. But it's not clear from his outline how he'd stop states from using their new flexibility to move spending away from the needy indirectly by substituting block grant money for existing expenditures.
Ryan might reply: You just don't trust the states! And my answer would be: You're absolutely right. There are some states I don't trust to stand up for their poor people.
In his speech Ryan movingly described two hypothetical Americans, "Andrea" and "Steven," and how much they could benefit from intense counseling by a case worker. There may well be something to this, but it's expensive. How much would states have to cut basic assistance to the poor to hire additional case workers?
And by the way, one of the programs Ryan would eliminate to pay for an undoubtedly positive part of his plan -- a roughly $500-a-year increase in the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) for childless workers -- is the Social Service Block Grant, which helps pay for the kinds of interventions he wants for Andrea and Steven.
There is such a hunger for something other than partisanship that the temptation is to praise the new Ryan for being better than the old Ryan and to leave it at that. It's good that he moved on the EITC and also that he embraced sentencing reform. I also like his suggestion that we re-examine occupational licensing rules.
But forgive me if I see his overall proposal as a nicely presented abdication of federal responsibility for the poor.
E.J. Dionne is a syndicated columnist.