How do I say this without a shrill Bay Area homer tinge or provoking an abundance of silly paranoia?

Can't avoid it. Sorry, just can't. But after perusing the 2013 baseball projections, I can't avoid this conclusion, either:

The A's and Giants aren't getting any respect!

OK, before it sounds like I've been hypnotized by Mike Krukow and Ray Fosse, let me point out that I am not making any accusations of East Coast Bias or anti-Bay Area conspiring.

The Las Vegas and analytical projections for the Giants and A's seem low this year, but I don't think there's anything nefarious about it.

There are reasons the consensus is for the A's (who went 94-68 and won the AL West last year) to win 83 or 84 games this year. (For Vegas, it's a betting line, but it's essentially a projection.)

San Francisco Giants’ Marco Scutaro throws out Los Angeles Angels’ Andrew Romine at first base in the first inning of an exhibition spring
San Francisco Giants' Marco Scutaro throws out Los Angeles Angels' Andrew Romine at first base in the first inning of an exhibition spring training baseball game Feb. 23, 2013, in Scottsdale, Ariz. (Darron Cummings/AP)

And for the Giants (also 94-68 and division champions last year) to win 87 or 88 games.

My projection of those projections is that they're wrong, and let's sift through how and why I see the Giants and A's both finishing at, or above, the 90-victory mark this season and being right there for division titles once again.

  • The Giants rarely look like a dominating regular-season team, but they've won two of the last three World Series titles because their core is tough to beat when it counts.

    Sure, World Series champions historically tend to fall back the next season, as the Giants did from 2010 to 2011 (dropping from 92 to 86 victories).

    But look at 2011 another way: How in the world did the Giants go 86-76 and contend into the final weeks when Buster Posey only played 45 games after getting his ankle blown up in May?

    If Bruce Bochy can patch it together well enough to contend even without Posey, I can't see how the Giants go far offline with Posey in the lineup the entire season (if he is).

  • The math might say that the A's are due for a regression from last year's high drama and rookie-pitcher extravaganza.

    But I counter: The A's played no games against Houston last year, and this year, with the Astros moving to the AL West, the A's get 19 of them.

    Nineteen games against a team that lost 107 times last year, and just traded one of their best players, Jed Lowrie, to ... the A's.

    Simple math: If the A's go 13-6 vs. Houston this year, they'd only have to go 71-72 in all other games to reach 84 victories.

    With Yoenis Cespedes, Josh Reddick, and all those quality pitchers, I'll guess the A's go better than 71-72 in all other games.

  • The Giants won 94 games last year when Tim Lincecum was the worst statistical starting pitcher in baseball.

    In 33 starts, Lincecum gave up five or more earned runs in 10 of them -- and the Giants were 0-10 in those games.

    Oakland Athletics’ Jesse Chavez throws before the first inning of an exhibition spring training baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday,
    Oakland Athletics' Jesse Chavez throws before the first inning of an exhibition spring training baseball game against the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday, Feb. 23, 2013, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) ( Morry Gash )

    If Lincecum merely turns in an NL average season and only blows up three or four times instead of 10, that might translate into four or five extra Giants victories right there.

  • A's ace Brett Anderson didn't return from injury until late last season, then delivered several good starts in the heat of the pennant race.

    Not coincidentally, the A's went 4-2 in his games.

    If Anderson is healthy for 33-34 starts this season, it's not illogical to pencil in a 75-percent A's win rate for those games, and that could mean three or four extra A's wins.

  • In 2012, the Giants got career years out of Posey, Angel Pagan, Sergio Romo and Ryan Vogelsong and a career half-year out of Marco Scutaro.

    Maybe all or some of those key players are susceptible to a performance dip in 2013.

    But it's fair for the Giants to expect much better seasons out of Pablo Sandoval, Hunter Pence, Brandon Belt, Barry Zito, Lincecum and a few others, which should balance everything out.

  • The A's are unlikely to come close to duplicating their 14 regular-season walk-off victories in 2012. That was fate and magic.

    But it's not like the A's were outrageously lucky in the big picture. They were 25-18 in one-run games and 11-5 in extra innings, not terribly offline with the rest of their record.

    For an example of off-kilter: Baltimore was 19-9 in one-run games and 16-2 in extras last year, two outlier stats that should regress this season.

  • The consensus projections have the Los Angeles teams winning the West divisions -- the Angels at 92 or 93 victories and the Dodgers at 91 or 92.

    Obviously, both L.A. teams spend lavishly and have tons of talent -- the Dodgers added Zack Greinke and the Angels added Josh Hamilton.

    But both teams spent big money last year, too, and the Angels won 89 and the Dodgers only 86. More money doesn't necessarily mean a spike in success.

    I'll say that the A's and Giants both get to 90 wins this season and top both L.A. teams again. That might sound like a homer call, but for once, I'll embrace that.

    Read Tim Kawakami's Talking Points blog at blogs.mercurynews.com/kawakami. Contact him at tkawakami@mercurynews.com.